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🍒 Doubling Down in Blackjack - Big Fish Blog

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double bet blackjack The only context I've ever heard this strategy in is that it doesn't work.
What's wrong with it?
I walk away from the table with an extra dollar and two free beers in my gut.
Is it that casinos don't allow this strategy or only that you risk losing that last bet, thus losing everything?
Is it that casinos don't allow this strategy or only that you double bet blackjack losing that last bet, thus losing everything?
Table limits, plus a lot of risk for little reward.
No matter whether it's your fiftieth bet or your five thousanth bet, or your first.
Do a search in GQ for the "Martingale" system of betting.
We've done this one to death.
There is no catch.
The odds are always in the House's favor so they'll make money no matter what.
You're playing against the House, while the House is playing against hundreds or thousands of people.
Ever wonder how the electric bills get paid?
If you win huge, the casino loves it.
Or so they'll make you think.
Of course, you'd also be portrayed to the rest of the guests as an example of the riches to be had.
Oh, and those free nights and comp'd meals?
Those are to make you think it's all free so you have some spare money to gamble with.
Maybe you can hit the house again?
Rarely, though it happens.
But chances are, you're giving it all back eventually.
That should tell you you're at the wrong casino!
If you walk in with 127K and use a Martingale scheme, then you probably will win a grand.
But you might lose 127 grand, without winning anything.
The first possibility is more likely, but it is not 127 times more likely, so the Martingale scheme like every other gambling scheme is a loser.
No matter whether it's your fiftieth bet or your five thousanth bet, or your first.
With blackjack odds so close you're likely to win more than 1 out of 8 hands.
Remember that you double the bet whether you win or lose.
What do you mean?
Anyway, I think this could be a winning strategy, but it's all moot speculaton because I totally forgot about.
Table limits You can tell I'm not a seasoned gambler.
The betting limit is what does you in with this plan.
The only way you're guaranteed visit web page make your profit is if you are able to always double your bet - and you aren't.
Let's say you won your eighth bet.
With the betting limit one hundred times greater than your initial bet, it only took a string of seven losses to hit the limit.
Even if you assume the casino sets no limit, you're going to hit a practical limit anyway on your ability to continue betting.
Even without the table limits, it still doesn't work.
There is no combination of negative expectation bets which will make a positive expectation bet.
And unless you're counting cards, playing poker against rookies, or a few other odd exceptions, there are no positive expectation bets in Vegas.
You can tell I'm not a seasoned gambler.
I'm glad you had a good time.
There is, of course, no successful strategy you could use - apart as Chronos says from card counting.
But the casinos know this and prevent it by using multiple decks and frequent reshuffling.
They may indeed 'accidentally' distract you with a glamorous waitress offering you a free drink.
On roulette, for example, there is that pesky zero to give the House double bet blackjack comfortable edge.
Why I hear in some countries they have two zeroes.
Money in the bank!
Do consider that casinos also win big overall.
Especially if you can keep it up 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
They spend their winnings on staff, furnishings, entertainment, paying taxes and dividends.
And their sole source of income is gamblers - preferably with a system!
I don't want to criticise places like Vegas.
I happily pay money to eat in restaurants and watch films.
Why shouldn't I spend some money in comfortable surroundings, generating some adrenalin?
As long as you only play for money you can afford to lose.
The Martingale system is the exact opposite of an ordinary lottery except that the ods are always skewed in favour of the people running the lottery or casino.
In the Martingale system, you risk all of your money in order to win a small prize; in a lottery, you risk a small amount of money in order to win a large prize.
Moral: If you want to win those small prizes, you are better off running a lottery and selling lottery tickets to the suckers.
Here's a bet doubling method that will work.
Double your bet if you're going to win.
If you aren't going to win, don't bet.
I just wanted to add what Click to see more think is an interesting aside, which is in my uninformed opinion a big part of the reason casino's don't like this betting strategy.
Your ordinary pattern of winners and losers in a casino is that you have a small number of people who win a lot, and a large number of people who lose a little.
The few people who came out well ahead are happy-they beat Vegas!
And the casinos get to promote them-look at the big winners we've had!
Come gamble at our place-maybe you could be one!
Now, look what happens when lots of people are using this betting strategy.
Instead of a few big winners and a lot of small losers, you get a lot of small winners and a few big losers.
Fairly similar results overall-the bulk of your customers played a while, had a good time, and walked away.
But you have a few unlucky souls who went down big, just based on the system.
And you don't have any big winners to parade around-it's virtually impossible to have a big payday betting this way.
Yucky day for the casino, marketing-wise, even though their profits are about the same as a percentage of the bets.
Because I always back up my rage with facts and documented sources.
With blackjack odds so close you're likely to win more than 1 out of 8 hands.
Remember that you double the bet whether you win or lose.
You're going to hit the table limit, never mind the limit of your bank account, very fast thay way.
Basically, the double bet blackjack would be to guess the maximum number of consecutive losses you want to be able to survive, and calculate back from that in order to determine your initial bet and the amount of money you need to start with.
Either way, if you guessed wrong and lose nine times in a row, you're out.
Otherwise, since you apparently have an unlimited amount to invest, and are playing against a casino with no table limit, why start small?
After all, there's not much point in playing to win a few tens of dollars over the course of a day, if you need millions of dollars in starting capital first.
I got extremely lucky and never lost more than 3 or 4 hands in a row.
Having played a LOT of blackjack in my life, it's NOT unusual to lose 40 hands in a row.
It's a lot more unusual, but not impossible, to WIN 40 hands in a row.
Also, if you're hitting and standing inconsistently, you're much more likely to lose hands.
Occasionally, casinos will run a promotion where the game shifts a percent or two into the player's favor.
The most common is to pay 2:1 on blackjacks instead of 1.
The average blackjack player either doesn't know anything about basic strategy or they know it but deviate from it based on superstition and the house still has the edge.
But the professional blackjack players always swoop in and the casino loses a few thousand dollars yeah, I'm sure that's gonna bankrupt the casino and they end the promotion.
I got extremely lucky and never lost more than 3 or this web page hands in a row.
Having played a LOT of blackjack in my life, it's NOT unusual to lose 40 hands in a row.
It's a lot more unusual, but not impossible, to WIN 40 hands in a row.
Also, if you're hitting and standing inconsistently, you're much more likely to lose hands.
There is no system to beat a casino.
The odds are clear.
Also bear in mind that players are trying to win something, however small.
The casino has to win enough to pay staff, lighting, heating, maintenance, taxes, dividends etc.
I also want to add that someone said that the game is never in the player's favor.
Occasionally, casinos will run a promotion where the game shifts a percent or two into the player's favor.
The most common is to pay 2:1 on blackjacks instead of 1.
The average blackjack player either doesn't know anything about basic strategy or they know it but deviate from it based on superstition and the house still has the edge.
But the professional blackjack players always swoop in and the casino loses a few thousand dollars yeah, I'm sure that's gonna bankrupt the casino and they end the promotion.
Well that is interesting.
Even so, I'm surprised casinos bother with such small promotions - I thought they would concentrate on publicising the big jackpots and having bells ring and lights flash whenever a one-armed bandit pays out.
Mmm, OT hijack, but I'm going to LV for Christmas.
I'm sick of blackjack and I'll give slots a try this time.
Is there a website out there that talks about the odds of specific slot machines in Las Vegas?
I know that those huge slot machines that they put near entrances are among the poorest in odds, but that's about it.
Outside of special and presumably unusual promotions like you describe, how can there be a "professional" blackjack player?
Previous threads have described how counting cards is theoretically advantageous but doesn't work in practice basically, because it's easy for casinos to detect and to frustrate.
So how can anyone except a casino owner make money playing blackjack?
Mmm, OT hijack, but I'm going to LV for Christmas.
I'm sick of blackjack and I'll give slots a try this time.
Is quite crown casino blackjack strategy and a website out there that talks about the odds of specific slot machines in Las Vegas?
I know that those huge slot machines that they put near entrances are among the poorest in odds, but that's about it.
The craps table is your friend.
First, it offers the least house-heavy odds, plus you're dealing with humans.
People that are generally sales types that have some personality.
Tip these guys in a manner consistant with what you're winning, and they'll "help out" by "suggesting" where and how many chips you should visit web page />I can't attest to all casinos, but in the 7 I've stayed at with heavy stake money, this is what I've seen.
If you're winning, and tipping on winning bets, the croupier and the rest working the table want you to win.
That's money in thier pockets.
And when it comes to a casino, everyone is looking to make money.
I'm not 100% sure about the Martingale system which would be more likely to work in Bacarrat than Blackjack Can you describe how it would work better for Bacarrat?
I don't think it or any "system" can work when the odds are rigged against the player as they are in all casinos.
And if you're playing a game in which the odds are in your favor, you don't need a system.
Tip these guys in a manner consistant with what you're winning, and they'll "help out" by "suggesting" where and how many chips you should lay.
How can they know more than you about what bets are advisable?
I'm not saying this is any better, but my theory on betting blackjack is that you want to capitalize on winning streaks and minimize losses during losing streaks.
If you win, increase your bet by 1 chip.
If you lose, bet 2 chips again.
Here's an illustration of 5 wins in a row followed by 5 losses in a row: 1.
I'm not saying this is any better, but my theory on betting blackjack is that you want to capitalize on winning streaks and minimize losses during losing streaks.
If you win, increase your bet by 1 chip.
blackjack surrender meaning you lose, bet 2 chips again.
It works nicely provided the streaks are 4 wins - 4 losses or longer.
click at this page streaks of 3 and 3, you break even.
With streaks of 2-2 or 1-1, you lose.
Since short "streaks" are more common than long ones, the net result not surprisingly is that your odds are not improved by this scheme.
I think your odds may even be slightly worse in this scheme.
The basis of card counting is that certain sets of cards remaining in the shoe are advantageous to the player.
If you've won a few hands, it's likely that you've been using up the "good" cards, and that the count is now against you, so you should reduce your bet.
I've had the idea before that a crude method of counting is to just count the number of hands won by the players at the table.
I doubt that it would be very effective though.
How can they know more than you about what bets are advisable?
How can they not?
How many people do you see at a craps table who don't take advantage of odds bets simply because they don't know about them?
Having played a LOT of blackjack in my life, it's NOT unusual to lose 40 hands in a row.
It's a lot more unusual, but not impossible, to WIN 40 hands in a row.
According to your definition of "unusual.
If the probability of winning is 49.
The prob of a 40-hand winning streak is about 0.
You must play a LOT of blackjack.
I think your odds may even be slightly worse in this scheme.
The basis of card counting is that certain sets of cards remaining in the shoe are advantageous to the player.
If you've won a few hands, it's likely that you've been using up the "good" cards, and that the count is now against you, so you should reduce your bet.
I've had the idea before that a crude method of counting is to just count the number of hands won by the players at the table.
I doubt that it would be very effective though.
A guy I met at a casino showed me this betting scheme although the way he "reset" after a loss was always to the table minimum - not necessarily 2 chips.
And having tried it a number of times, I have actually had very good success with it.
There are some other aspects that play into it.
You can obviously win quite a bit, but when you do end up losing on these, they set you back quite a bit.
I also think you need to have a real good handle on when to surrender provided the casino allows this practice when the bet gets large.
So though I'm not consistently following the "add a chip" rule at that point, I figure it helps reduce the losses when a double-down or split hand comes along.
As to why it appears to work has more to do with "streakiness" than pure odds.
For the most part and this is only casual observation - no real statistics to back this upblackjack does have a tendency to be streaky - on the order of 4 to 5 hand streaks winners or losers.
And this strategy takes advantage of this tendency notice I didn't say "fact" .
Perhaps the best measure that I've noticed is when I compare either how well I'm doing in terms of gain or how much longer I last at a table compared to the other gamblers at a table.
There is kind of a knee-jerk tendency when you lose to increase https://bannerven.com/blackjack/blackjack-arcade-machine.html bet, and I see this often.
Sometimes it pays off, but since there is this streaky tendency, more times it doesn't.
Using this "add a chip and reset" strategy I have noticed that I generally outlast the "I can't lose this many hands in a row" types of bettors, and I types of blackjack games had very good success at walking away with more than I started.
So though it may not seem to give you much of an edge, my experience has been that it does seem to work.
Outside of special and presumably unusual promotions like you describe, how can there be a "professional" blackjack player?
Previous threads have described how counting cards is theoretically advantageous but doesn't work in practice basically, because it's easy for casinos to detect and to frustrate.
So how can anyone except a casino owner make money playing blackjack?
There are still professional blackjack players, they have to move around often, because they do not want to be known.
As a semi-pro myself working my way through law schoolthey have the act of looking "lucky" down pat.
They also don't bet as much, and are most likely red chip bettors think 10k-15k bankroll for the week on avg, though aquaintances and I have calculated that a lifetime bankroll of 300k is more common.
Green puts too much at risk and draws too much attention.
Black takes too much work, e.
If you can pull it off, it pays to bet black because often the high rollers get better odds less shoes, house hits S17, multiple splits, double anything.
Still the pros are few and far between, and they definitely do not operate like the MIT crew see the real-life fiction account in Bringing Down the House, also a National Geographic Channel special.
That MIT crew was all about profit maximization and they were bringing HUGE cash.
The average week for a pro is something like 1.
The MIT crew was doing 100x's that.
The only context I've ever heard this strategy in is that it doesn't work.
What's wrong with it?
I walk away from the table with an extra dollar and two free beers in my gut.
Is it that casinos don't allow this strategy or only that you risk losing that last bet, thus losing everything?
In probablity terms playing any casino game is a random walk with restraining and absorbing barriers.
This means that you start someplace on a line, say to the right of zero.
Zero is when you are out of money and that is the absorbing barrier.
Further to the right of your position on the line is the house limit for any one bet and that is the restraining barrier.
Now each hand if you win you take a step to the left, getting further from zero, and if you lose you take a step to the right.
Sooner or later you will have a long series of losses and you will either hit zero, or the house limit.
In the first case you're out of the game and in the second case you are not allowed double bet blackjack bet enough to get your expected return and you system fails because its success is predicated on getting the expected return for each bet.
Ah, you say, you are also likely to get a long series of wins which will put you further from zero.
It doesn't matter because sooner or later a long loss run, which is equally likely, will get you.
In addition to the above, the house tilts the odds just slightly in its favor.
And there is no way you can beat the odds by spending more money, i.
How can they not?
How many people do you see at a craps table who don't take advantage of odds bets simply because they don't know about them?
Odds bets aren't advantageous, they're neutral.
Outside of special and presumably unusual promotions like you describe, how can there be a "professional" blackjack player?
Previous threads have described how counting cards is theoretically advantageous but doesn't work in practice basically, because it's easy for casinos to detect and to frustrate.
So how can anyone except a casino owner make money playing blackjack?
So, as far as I understand, if you stick to the low limit stuff, and don't push your edge too far, you can grind double bet blackjack a low wage without anyone really caring.
Odds bets aren't advantageous, they're neutral.
Yes, but NOT taking odds bets considerably lowers your odds, don't they?
Is this an accurate analogy for the Martingale system?
I pull out seven pennies, double bet blackjack offer you a bet.
Otherwise, I'll give you a dollar.
Almost all the time, I'll end up giving you a dollar.
As long as your rare payment to me is just slightly greater than the aggregate of what I've ended up paying to you, I'll come out ahead.
In college I this web page up with the Martingale system, and for a period of a couple days was convinced I'd come up with a way to revolutionize gambling.
Fortunately, I wasn't foolish enough to put my money where my mouth was.
Daniel I pull out seven pennies, and offer you a bet.
Otherwise, I'll give you a dollar.
Close, but it has to be such a penny that comes up head's slightly more often than tails.
I also want to add that someone said that the game is never in the player's favor.
Occasionally, casinos will run a promotion where the game shifts a percent or two into the player's favor.
The most common is to pay 2:1 on blackjacks instead of 1.
Your conclusions doesn't follow from this example.
Yes, the casino has made the odds slightly better than "standard".
It does not follow that the odds are in the players favor.
Are the odds actually better than 50% with a 2:1 blackjack payoff?
Maybe, but online blackjack betting needs a cite to demonstrate.
Otherwise, it seems like they have tricked you into playing hands as fast you can, and losing your money that much quicker.
Close, but it has to be such a penny that comes up head's slightly more often than tails.
I figured that'd make for a simpler explanation than going into slightly weighted here />Daniel I pull out seven pennies, and offer you a bet.
Otherwise, I'll give you a dollar.
I only deal in round figures.
Can we make it 10 coins?
That looks fair to me.
Your conclusions doesn't follow from this example.
Yes, the casino has made the odds slightly better than "standard".
It does not follow that the odds are in the players favor.
Are the odds actually better than 50% with a 2:1 blackjack payoff?
Maybe, but that needs a cite to demonstrate.
Otherwise, it seems like they have tricked you into playing hands as fast you can, and losing your money that much quicker.
Actually, I was doing the math on the back of this envelope, but now I have to run to a meeting; however, I found this site: Paying 2 to 1 is probably the best advantage given to a player, making 6 deck shoes, no resplitting As worthwhile to play.
Btw, 6 to 5 pay off on the natural is probably the most evil thing that casinos have done, even on 1 deck.
Note to all: do not play this game!
I only deal in round figures.
Can we make it 10 coins?
That looks fair to me.
Daniel I just realized that I was counting on my fingers to figure out the odds on that one.
At least counting exponents isn't as embarrassing as counting units.
Daniel According to your definition of "unusual.
If the probability of winning is 49.
The prob of a 40-hand winning streak is about 0.
You must play a LOT of blackjack.
Maybe he just plays very poorly?
I just realized that I was counting on my fingers to figure out the odds on that one.
At least counting exponents isn't as embarrassing as counting units.
Daniel You have 1,000 fingers?
Yes, but NOT taking odds bets considerably lowers your odds, don't they?
It depends on how you define "odds.
The house advantage is usually defined as the house's expected winnings divided by your bet.
Taking the odds bet increases the denominator, but doesn't change the numerator, therefore making the house advantage smaller.
However, it does not make you more money over the long term.
A this web page distinction to most people, and casinos take advantage of this confusion by advertising "10X ODDS!!!
Yes, the casino has made the odds slightly better than "standard".
It does not follow that the odds are in the players favor.
Lessee - scribble scribble - it looks like you can expect to get a blackjack about one out of 20 hands, and will gain an extra 50 cents per dollar bet when you do.
So playing this way increases your expectation by about 2.
Actually, I was doing the math on the back of this envelope, but now I have to run to a meeting; however, I found this site: Paying 2 to 1 is probably the best advantage given to a player, making 6 deck shoes, no resplitting As worthwhile to play.
Btw, 6 to 5 pay off on the natural is probably the most evil thing that casinos have done, even on 1 deck.
Note to all: do not play this game!
Why does the number of decks matter if you're just playing basic strategy?
How many people do you see at a craps table who don't take advantage of odds bets simply because they don't know about them?
There may well be lots of players who use a sub-optimal strategy and thus increase the casino's advantage.
But there is no craps strategy that gives a player the advantage over the casino.
And there is no advice the croupier can provide that isn't available to a player who simply spends 10 minutes studying the rules.
So taking advice from others double bet blackjack they never so savvy still leaves you a long-term loser.
If you pay for that advice through tips you lose even more.
There are still professional blackjack players, they have to move around often, because they do not want to be known.
My admittedly limited information on this came from a guy who used to work at a Reno casino I think it was the Hilton.
He said that dealers were trained to look for the betting patterns that indicate card counting, and to notify management if they spotted anything suspicious.
Managers would have a "talk" with such players, which often included an invitation to leave and not return.
There apparently exists a sort of "black list," accessible to all casinos, with names and photos of counters.
If so, that's quite interesting not to say tempting.
The catch is that only one small group is actually doing so: the casino owners.
There may well be lots of players who use a sub-optimal strategy and thus increase the casino's advantage.
But there is no craps strategy that gives a player the advantage over the casino.
And there is no advice the croupier can provide that isn't available to a player who simply spends 10 minutes studying the rules.
So taking advice from others be they never so savvy still leaves you a long-term loser.
If you pay for that advice through tips you lose even more.
You took my original use of the word "advantage" in the wrong way.
Sorry for the confusion.
I never intended to suggest that taking the odds in craps gives a player the advantage over the house.
It merely reduces the rate of your loss with a limited budget - which double bet blackjack certainly an advantage over losing your money immediately in terms of enjoyment.
I never intended to suggest that taking the odds in craps gives a player the advantage over the house.
It merely reduces the rate of your loss with a limited budget - which is certainly an advantage over losing your money immediately in terms of enjoyment.
Like I posted earlier, this depends on how you look at it.
That's why I think it's not correct to state that the odds bet improves your chances of winning.
Like I posted earlier, this depends on how you look at it.
That's why I think it's not correct to state that the odds bet improves your chances of winning.
That's why I was careful in what I said.
I didn't say it increases your odds - it just increases your playing time assuming a consistent rate of gamblingand thus your enjoyment.
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When to Double Down in Blackjack


75 76 77 78 79

... pay table. A player must make their double action wager before any cards are dealt.. Double action is an optional blackjack side bet. This is the pay table:.


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